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STOCK TRADE ↔ VOTE CORRELATIONS
30,204
correlations
719
high-score
44.3
avg score

Trade ↔ Vote Correlations

When members of Congress trade stocks within 30 days of voting on related legislation, we track it. Every correlation scored 0-100 based on timing, trade size, and industry match. Correlation is not accusation — but patterns are worth watching.

How Scoring Works

Timing (0-40 pts): Trades within 3 days of a vote score highest. Before-vote bonus (+10): Trading before voting is more suspicious. Amount (0-30 pts): Larger trades score higher. Industry match (0-20 pts): If the stock's industry matches the bill topic. Score ≥70 = flagged for review.

30,204
Correlations
49
Politicians
719
Score 70+
44.3
Avg Score

Highest Average Scores

55 avg (74)
52 avg (43)
50.9 avg (4702)
48.5 avg (221)
48.2 avg (69)
47.1 avg (112)
47 avg (9249)
46.7 avg (3505)
Angus King I ME
45.6 avg (4257)
45.4 avg (100)

Most Correlated Tickers

UNH
45.7 avg (896 trades)
45.8 avg (748 trades)
46.2 avg (705 trades)
47 avg (689 trades)
JPM
47.9 avg (578 trades)
45.5 avg (556 trades)
XOM
42.7 avg (454 trades)
41.5 avg (413 trades)
GD
48.4 avg (404 trades)
MU
41.4 avg (387 trades)

Correlations (30204 found)

Stock Trade
VLO sale $8K
Timing
30 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 10, 2025
Vote
On Ordering the Previous Question
Voted: No
Gilbert Cisneros sold VLO ($1,001-$15,000) 30 days after voting 'No' on On Ordering the Previous Question
TRADED BEFORE VOTE VLO
Stock Trade
MOS purchase $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 17, 2025
Vote
On Ordering the Previous Question
Voted: No
Gilbert Cisneros bought MOS ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'No' on On Ordering the Previous Question
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MOS
Stock Trade
SCHW purchase $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 11, 2025
Vote
On Agreeing to the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Gilbert Cisneros bought SCHW ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on On Agreeing to the Amendment
TRADED BEFORE VOTE SCHW
Stock Trade
BKR sale $8K
Timing
22 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Recommit
Voted: Yes
Gilbert Cisneros sold BKR ($1,001-$15,000) 22 days after voting 'Yes' on On Motion to Recommit
TRADED BEFORE VOTE BKR
Stock Trade
DD purchase $8K
Timing
28 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 12, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: No
Gilbert Cisneros bought DD ($1,001-$15,000) 28 days after voting 'No' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE DD
30
Stock Trade
UNH sale $8K
Timing
27 days before vote
Trade: Apr 30 → Vote: Apr 3, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Katie Britt sold UNH ($1,001-$15,000) 27 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Harmeet Dhillon, of California, to be an Assistant Attorney General
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UNH
30
Stock Trade
GOOG purchase $8K
Timing
19 days after vote
Trade: May 15 → Vote: Jun 3, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Fetterman bought GOOG ($1,001-$15,000) 19 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Dale Marks, of Florida, to be an Assistant Secretary of Defense
GOOG
Stock Trade
EVVTY sale $8K
Timing
30 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 10, 2025
Vote
On Agreeing to the Resolution
Voted: Yes
Michael Patrick Guest sold EVVTY ($1,001-$15,000) 30 days after voting 'Yes' on On Agreeing to the Resolution
TRADED BEFORE VOTE EVVTY
Angus King I ME
30
Stock Trade
META purchase $8K
Timing
25 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jun 26, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Angus King bought META ($1,001-$15,000) 25 days after voting 'No' on Confirmation: Kenneth Kies, of Virginia, to be an Assistant Secretary of the Treasury
TRADED BEFORE VOTE META
30
Stock Trade
AVGO sale $8K
Timing
28 days before vote
Trade: Jan 8 → Vote: Dec 11, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Table
Voted: Yes
David J. Taylor sold AVGO ($1,001-$15,000) 28 days after voting 'Yes' on On Motion to Table
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AVGO
30
Stock Trade
PH sale $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 16 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Yes
David J. Taylor sold PH ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PH
30
Stock Trade
PGR purchase $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 16 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Yes
David J. Taylor bought PGR ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PGR
Stock Trade
DHR sale $8K
Timing
26 days before vote
Trade: Aug 28 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Sheldon Whitehouse sold DHR ($1,001-$15,000) 26 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Adam Telle, of Mississippi, to be an Assistant Secretary of the Army
TRADED BEFORE VOTE DHR
Stock Trade
HD sale $8K
Timing
20 days after vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Jan 29, 2026
Vote
On Cloture on the Motion to Proceed
Voted: No
Sheldon Whitehouse sold HD ($1,001-$15,000) 20 days before voting 'No' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Motion to Proceed to H.R. 7148
HD
Stock Trade
NYSE Purchase
Timing
19 days before vote
Trade: Aug 6 → Vote: Jul 18, 2025
Vote
On Agreeing to the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Hon. Marjorie Taylor Greene sold NYSE 19 days after voting 'Yes' on On Agreeing to the Amendment
TRADED BEFORE VOTE NYSE
30
Stock Trade
DRI Purchase
Timing
20 days before vote
Trade: Jan 7 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Recommit
Voted: Yes
Hon. Rick Larsen sold DRI 20 days after voting 'Yes' on On Motion to Recommit
TRADED BEFORE VOTE DRI
Stock Trade
ICHR Purchase
Timing
21 days before vote
Trade: Aug 5 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On Ordering the Previous Question
Voted: No
Hon. Debbie Wasserman Schultz sold ICHR 21 days after voting 'No' on On Ordering the Previous Question
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ICHR
Stock Trade
CVX purchase $75K
Timing
29 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: Jun 11, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought CVX ($50,001-$100,000) 29 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Amdt. No. 2307 to S. 1582
CVX
Stock Trade
IRM sale $8K
Timing
20 days after vote
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 24, 2026
Vote
On Cloture on the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin sold IRM ($1,001-$15,000) 20 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Motion to Proceed to H.R. 7147
IRM
Stock Trade
CB sale $8K
Timing
30 days before vote
Trade: Jul 17 → Vote: Jun 17, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold CB ($1,001-$15,000) 30 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Gary Andres, of Virginia, to be an Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services
TRADED BEFORE VOTE CB
Stock Trade
JPM sale $8K
Timing
15 days after vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 15 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Brian Burch, of Illinois, to be Ambassador of the United States of America to the Holy
JPM
Stock Trade
AAPL sale $8K
Timing
15 days after vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold AAPL ($1,001-$15,000) 15 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Jason Reding Quinones to be United States Attorney for the Southern Distri
AAPL
Stock Trade
PPG sale $8K
Timing
30 days before vote
Trade: Jul 31 → Vote: Jul 1, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: No
Shelley Moore Capito sold PPG ($1,001-$15,000) 30 days after voting 'No' on Rosen Amdt. No. 2717
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PPG
30
Stock Trade
GD sale $8K
Timing
15 days after vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: Jun 4, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold GD ($1,001-$15,000) 15 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: James O'Neill to be Deputy Secretary of Health and Human Services
GD
Stock Trade
VLO purchase $75K
Timing
23 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: Jun 5, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought VLO ($50,001-$100,000) 23 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Brett Shumate to be an Assistant Attorney General
VLO
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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS — LIVE
via Polymarket ↗
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1%
Vol $3.9M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
0%
Vol $3.7M/24h
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
60%
Vol $2.9M/24h
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0%
Vol $2.8M/24h
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
69%
Vol $1.4M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6%
Vol $916K/24h