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STOCK TRADE ↔ VOTE CORRELATIONS
30,326
correlations
719
high-score
44.3
avg score
Home / Stock Trades / Correlations

Trade ↔ Vote Correlations

When members of Congress trade stocks within 30 days of voting on related legislation, we track it. Every correlation scored 0-100 based on timing, trade size, and industry match. Correlation is not accusation — but patterns are worth watching.

How Scoring Works

Timing (0-40 pts): Trades within 3 days of a vote score highest. Before-vote bonus (+10): Trading before voting is more suspicious. Amount (0-30 pts): Larger trades score higher. Industry match (0-20 pts): If the stock's industry matches the bill topic. Score ≥70 = flagged for review.

30,326
Correlations
49
Politicians
719
Score 70+
44.3
Avg Score

Highest Average Scores

HICKENLOOPER, JOHN W. D CO
55 avg (74)
Markwayne Mullin R OK
50.9 avg (4702)
SMITH, ANDY D MN
49.8 avg (65)
CAPITO, SHELLEY MOORE R WV
48.5 avg (221)
Dave McCormick R PA
47.1 avg (112)
John Boozman R AR
47 avg (9249)
Shelley Moore Capito R WV
46.7 avg (3505)
Angus King I ME
45.6 avg (4257)
PELOSI, NANCY D CA
45.4 avg (100)
Jim Justice R WV
45.3 avg (60)

Most Correlated Tickers

UNH
45.7 avg (896 trades)
MSFT
45.5 avg (774 trades)
NVDA
46.2 avg (705 trades)
GOOGL
47 avg (689 trades)
JPM
47.9 avg (578 trades)
META
45.5 avg (556 trades)
XOM
42.7 avg (454 trades)
AVGO
41.5 avg (413 trades)
GD
48.4 avg (404 trades)
MU
41.2 avg (398 trades)

Correlations (30326 found)

Score Date Amount Timing
50
Stock Trade
EL sale $8K
Timing
7 days after vote
Trade: Apr 29 → Vote: May 6, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Sheldon Whitehouse sold EL ($1,001-$15,000) 7 days before voting 'No' on Confirmation: Frank Bisignano, of New Jersey, to be Commissioner of Social Security Administration
EL
50
Stock Trade
GOOGL purchase $8K
Timing
9 days before vote
Trade: May 8 → Vote: Apr 29, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought GOOGL ($1,001-$15,000) 9 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Thomas Barrack, of Colorado, to be Ambassador of the United States of America to the R
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GOOGL
50
Stock Trade
JPM sale $8K
Timing
8 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jul 10, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 8 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Jonathan Gould, of Virginia, to be Comptroller of the Currency
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
50
Stock Trade
AAPL sale $8K
Timing
9 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jul 9, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold AAPL ($1,001-$15,000) 9 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Preston Griffith, of Virginia, to be Under Secretary of Energy
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AAPL
50
Stock Trade
META purchase $8K
Timing
4 days after vote
Trade: Jul 29 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought META ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Adam Telle, of Mississippi, to be an Assistant Secretary of the Army
META
50
Stock Trade
PPG sale $8K
Timing
8 days before vote
Trade: Jul 30 → Vote: Jul 22, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold PPG ($1,001-$15,000) 8 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Joshua M. Divine, of Missouri, to be United States District Judge for the Eastern and
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PPG
50
Stock Trade
GD sale $8K
Timing
14 days before vote
Trade: Jul 31 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold GD ($1,001-$15,000) 14 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: John Hurley to be Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Crimes
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GD
50
Stock Trade
BLK sale $8K
Timing
12 days before vote
Trade: Aug 4 → Vote: Jul 23, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold BLK ($1,001-$15,000) 12 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: John Hurley, of California, to be Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Crimes
TRADED BEFORE VOTE BLK
50
Stock Trade
PAYX sale $8K
Timing
9 days before vote
Trade: Feb 20 → Vote: Feb 11, 2026
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold PAYX ($1,001-$15,000) 9 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Proceed to H. J. Res. 142
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PAYX
50
Stock Trade
NVDA purchase $8K
Timing
6 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 19, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought NVDA ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Charles Kushner to be Ambassador of the United States of America to the Fr
NVDA
50
Stock Trade
GOOGL purchase $8K
Timing
14 days before vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: May 6, 2025
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought GOOGL ($1,001-$15,000) 14 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to proceed to S.J. Res. 7
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GOOGL
50
Stock Trade
TBLL purchase $8K
Timing
5 days after vote
Trade: Jun 11 → Vote: Jun 16, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought TBLL ($1,001-$15,000) 5 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Gary Andres to be an Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services
TBLL
50
Stock Trade
JPM sale $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Jul 24 → Vote: Jul 1, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: No
John Boozman sold JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'No' on Bennet Motion to Commit H.R. 1 to the Committee on Finance with Instructions
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
50
Stock Trade
EFA sale $8K
Timing
10 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 22, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold EFA ($1,001-$15,000) 10 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Terrance Cole, of Virginia, to be Administrator of Drug Enforcement
TRADED BEFORE VOTE EFA
50
Stock Trade
IRM sale $8K
Timing
5 days after vote
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 9, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin sold IRM ($1,001-$15,000) 5 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Daniel E. Burrows to be an Assistant Attorney General
IRM
50
Stock Trade
IWM sale $8K
Timing
6 days after vote
Trade: Jan 23 → Vote: Jan 29, 2026
Vote
On Cloture on the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold IWM ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Motion to Proceed to H.R. 7148
IWM
50
Stock Trade
FISV sale $8K
Timing
4 days after vote
Trade: Jan 29 → Vote: Feb 2, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold FISV ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: David Clay Fowlkes to be United States District Judge for the Western Dist
FISV
50
Stock Trade
EL sale $8K
Timing
7 days after vote
Trade: Apr 29 → Vote: May 6, 2025
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: No
Sheldon Whitehouse sold EL ($1,001-$15,000) 7 days before voting 'No' on Motion to proceed to S.J. Res. 13
EL
50
Stock Trade
GOOGL purchase $8K
Timing
9 days before vote
Trade: May 8 → Vote: Apr 29, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought GOOGL ($1,001-$15,000) 9 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Thomas Barrack to be Ambassador of the United States of America to the Rep
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GOOGL
50
Stock Trade
JPM sale $8K
Timing
8 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jul 10, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 8 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Whitney D. Hermandorfer to be U.S. Circuit Judge for the Sixth Circuit
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
50
Stock Trade
AAPL sale $8K
Timing
8 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jul 10, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold AAPL ($1,001-$15,000) 8 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Jonathan Gould, of Virginia, to be Comptroller of the Currency
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AAPL
50
Stock Trade
META purchase $8K
Timing
4 days after vote
Trade: Jul 29 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought META ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Sean Cairncross, of Minnesota, to be National Cyber Director
META
50
Stock Trade
PPG sale $8K
Timing
8 days before vote
Trade: Jul 30 → Vote: Jul 22, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold PPG ($1,001-$15,000) 8 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Terrance Cole, of Virginia, to be Administrator of Drug Enforcement
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PPG
50
Stock Trade
GD sale $8K
Timing
14 days before vote
Trade: Jul 31 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold GD ($1,001-$15,000) 14 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Arielle Roth to be Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Communications and
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GD
50
Stock Trade
BLK sale $8K
Timing
12 days before vote
Trade: Aug 4 → Vote: Jul 23, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold BLK ($1,001-$15,000) 12 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Arielle Roth, of the District of Columbia, to be Assistant Secretary of Communications
TRADED BEFORE VOTE BLK
Explore More Data
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Roll call votes and voting records
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Epstein events overlaid with political donation activity
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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS — LIVE
via Polymarket ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
100%
Vol $46.1M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
3%
Vol $1.4M/24h
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55%
Vol $1.1M/24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
Vol $1.1M/24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
Vol $1.0M/24h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
3%
Vol $862K/24h