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STOCK TRADE ↔ VOTE CORRELATIONS
30,204
correlations
719
high-score
44.3
avg score

Trade ↔ Vote Correlations

When members of Congress trade stocks within 30 days of voting on related legislation, we track it. Every correlation scored 0-100 based on timing, trade size, and industry match. Correlation is not accusation — but patterns are worth watching.

How Scoring Works

Timing (0-40 pts): Trades within 3 days of a vote score highest. Before-vote bonus (+10): Trading before voting is more suspicious. Amount (0-30 pts): Larger trades score higher. Industry match (0-20 pts): If the stock's industry matches the bill topic. Score ≥70 = flagged for review.

30,204
Correlations
49
Politicians
719
Score 70+
44.3
Avg Score

Highest Average Scores

55 avg (74)
52 avg (43)
50.9 avg (4702)
48.5 avg (221)
48.2 avg (69)
47.1 avg (112)
47 avg (9249)
46.7 avg (3505)
Angus King I ME
45.6 avg (4257)
45.4 avg (100)

Most Correlated Tickers

UNH
45.7 avg (896 trades)
45.8 avg (748 trades)
46.2 avg (705 trades)
47 avg (689 trades)
JPM
47.9 avg (578 trades)
45.5 avg (556 trades)
XOM
42.7 avg (454 trades)
41.5 avg (413 trades)
GD
48.4 avg (404 trades)
MU
41.4 avg (387 trades)

Correlations (30204 found)

Stock Trade
AMKR purchase $33K
Timing
Same day
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 4, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMKR ($15,001-$50,000) 0 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Megan Blair Benton to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of M
TIGHT TIMING AMKR
60
Stock Trade
ATO purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: May 14, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought ATO ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Michael Rigas to be Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ATO
60
Stock Trade
MBB sale $8K
Timing
7 days before vote
Trade: Feb 6 → Vote: Jan 30, 2026
Vote
On the Motion to Table
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold MBB ($1,001-$15,000) 7 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Table Lee Amdt. No. 4236
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MBB
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
JPM purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Angus King bought JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Confirmation: Anthony Tata, of Florida, to be Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Not Voting
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Not Voting' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: John Hurley to be Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Crimes
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
MRVL purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought MRVL ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Ossoff Amdt. No. 2896
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MRVL
Stock Trade
AMAT purchase $33K
Timing
1 day after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 14, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMAT ($15,001-$50,000) 1 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Eric Matthew Ueland to be Deputy Director for Management, Office of Manage
TIGHT TIMING AMAT
Stock Trade
AMKR purchase $33K
Timing
Same day
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 4, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMKR ($15,001-$50,000) 0 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Aaron Christian Peterson, of Alaska, to be United States District Judge for the Distri
TIGHT TIMING AMKR
Stock Trade
MSFT sale $8K
Timing
18 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jun 30, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: No
Shelley Moore Capito sold MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 18 days after voting 'No' on Kaine Motion to Commit H.R. 1 to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs with In
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MSFT
60
Stock Trade
ATO purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: May 14, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought ATO ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Katharine MacGregor, of Florida, to be Deputy Secretary of the Interior
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ATO
60
Stock Trade
MBB sale $8K
Timing
7 days before vote
Trade: Feb 6 → Vote: Jan 30, 2026
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: No
John Boozman sold MBB ($1,001-$15,000) 7 days after voting 'No' on Paul Amdt. No. 4272
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MBB
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
JPM purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: No
Angus King bought JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Anthony Tata to be Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Not Voting
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Not Voting' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Arielle Roth to be Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Communications and
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
MRVL purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought MRVL ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Shaheen Amdt. No. 2898
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MRVL
60
Stock Trade
BRK.B sale $175K
Timing
14 days before vote
Trade: Jan 27 → Vote: Jan 13, 2026
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
Tina Smith sold BRK.B ($100,001-$250,000) 14 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Proceed to S.J. Res. 84
TRADED BEFORE VOTE BRK.B
Stock Trade
AMAT purchase $33K
Timing
1 day after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 14, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMAT ($15,001-$50,000) 1 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Emil Michael, of Florida, to be Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineerin
TIGHT TIMING AMAT
Stock Trade
AMKR purchase $33K
Timing
1 day after vote
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 5, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMKR ($15,001-$50,000) 1 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Justin R. Olson, of Indiana, to be U.S. District Judge for the Southern District of In
TIGHT TIMING AMKR
Stock Trade
MSFT sale $8K
Timing
12 days after vote
Trade: Jun 18 → Vote: Jun 30, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: No
Shelley Moore Capito sold MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 12 days before voting 'No' on Kaine Motion to Commit H.R. 1 to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs with In
MSFT
60
Stock Trade
ATO purchase $8K
Timing
5 days before vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: May 15, 2025
Vote
On the Motion to Discharge
Voted: No
John Boozman bought ATO ($1,001-$15,000) 5 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Discharge S. Res. 195
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ATO
Stock Trade
UNH purchase $75K
Timing
5 days after vote
Trade: Feb 25 → Vote: Mar 2, 2026
Vote
On Cloture on the Motion to Proceed
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought UNH ($50,001-$100,000) 5 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Motion to Proceed to H.R. 6644
UNH
60
Stock Trade
MBB sale $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Feb 6 → Vote: Feb 2, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold MBB ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: David Clay Fowlkes to be United States District Judge for the Western Dist
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MBB
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
JPM purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Angus King bought JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Confirmation: Luke Pettit, of the District of Columbia, to be an Assistant Secretary of the Treasury
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Not Voting
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Not Voting' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Bradley Hansell to be Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence and Secu
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
MRVL purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought MRVL ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Murkowski Amdt. No. 2865
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MRVL
60
Stock Trade
BRK.B sale $175K
Timing
13 days before vote
Trade: Jan 27 → Vote: Jan 14, 2026
Vote
On the Point of Order
Voted: No
Tina Smith sold BRK.B ($100,001-$250,000) 13 days after voting 'No' on Is the Point of Order Well Taken Re: To the Privilege Status of S.J. Res. 98
TRADED BEFORE VOTE BRK.B
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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS — LIVE
via Polymarket ↗
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1%
Vol $4.0M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
0%
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US forces enter Iran by April 30?
58%
Vol $2.8M/24h
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0%
Vol $2.6M/24h
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67%
Vol $1.4M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6%
Vol $946K/24h