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STOCK TRADE ↔ VOTE CORRELATIONS
30,204
correlations
719
high-score
44.3
avg score

Trade ↔ Vote Correlations

When members of Congress trade stocks within 30 days of voting on related legislation, we track it. Every correlation scored 0-100 based on timing, trade size, and industry match. Correlation is not accusation — but patterns are worth watching.

How Scoring Works

Timing (0-40 pts): Trades within 3 days of a vote score highest. Before-vote bonus (+10): Trading before voting is more suspicious. Amount (0-30 pts): Larger trades score higher. Industry match (0-20 pts): If the stock's industry matches the bill topic. Score ≥70 = flagged for review.

30,204
Correlations
49
Politicians
719
Score 70+
44.3
Avg Score

Highest Average Scores

55 avg (74)
52 avg (43)
50.9 avg (4702)
48.5 avg (221)
48.2 avg (69)
47.1 avg (112)
47 avg (9249)
46.7 avg (3505)
Angus King I ME
45.6 avg (4257)
45.4 avg (100)

Most Correlated Tickers

UNH
45.7 avg (896 trades)
45.8 avg (748 trades)
46.2 avg (705 trades)
47 avg (689 trades)
JPM
47.9 avg (578 trades)
45.5 avg (556 trades)
XOM
42.7 avg (454 trades)
41.5 avg (413 trades)
GD
48.4 avg (404 trades)
MU
41.4 avg (387 trades)

Correlations (30204 found)

Stock Trade
ZTS purchase $75K
Timing
6 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 19, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought ZTS ($50,001-$100,000) 6 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Charles Kushner to be Ambassador of the United States of America to the Fr
ZTS
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
NVDA purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Angus King bought NVDA ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Confirmation: Joseph Edlow, of Maryland, to be Director of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services
TRADED BEFORE VOTE NVDA
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
JPM purchase $8K
Timing
5 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 16, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 5 days after voting 'Yes' on Baldwin Amdt. No. 2855
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: No
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'No' on Schmitt Admt. No. 2853
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Stock Trade
AMAT purchase $33K
Timing
2 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 15, 2025
Vote
On the Motion to Discharge
Voted: No
Markwayne Mullin bought AMAT ($15,001-$50,000) 2 days before voting 'No' on Motion to Discharge S. Res. 195
TIGHT TIMING AMAT
Stock Trade
APG purchase $33K
Timing
1 day after vote
Trade: Jan 5 → Vote: Jan 6, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought APG ($15,001-$50,000) 1 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Joshua Simmons, of Virginia, to be General Counsel of the Central Intelligence Agency
TIGHT TIMING APG
Stock Trade
MSFT sale $8K
Timing
18 days before vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Jun 30, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 18 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Waive Section 425(a)(2) of the CBA re: H.R. 1
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MSFT
Stock Trade
AVGO purchase $8K
Timing
7 days before vote
Trade: Feb 9 → Vote: Feb 2, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought AVGO ($1,001-$15,000) 7 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: David Clay Fowlkes to be United States District Judge for the Western Dist
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AVGO
60
Stock Trade
IVV sale $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 28, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold IVV ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Earl Matthews to be General Counsel of the Department of Defense
TRADED BEFORE VOTE IVV
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
NVDA purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: No
Angus King bought NVDA ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Joseph Edlow to be Director of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services,
TRADED BEFORE VOTE NVDA
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
JPM purchase $8K
Timing
5 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 16, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought JPM ($1,001-$15,000) 5 days after voting 'Yes' on Coons Amdt. No. 2856
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JPM
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Merkley Amdt. No. 2863
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Stock Trade
AMAT purchase $33K
Timing
2 days after vote
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 15, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought AMAT ($15,001-$50,000) 2 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Sean Donahue, of F.L., to be an Assistant Administrator of the Environmental Protectio
TIGHT TIMING AMAT
Stock Trade
APG purchase $33K
Timing
2 days after vote
Trade: Jan 5 → Vote: Jan 7, 2026
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: No
Markwayne Mullin bought APG ($15,001-$50,000) 2 days before voting 'No' on Motion to Proceed to S.J.Res. 86
TIGHT TIMING APG
Stock Trade
MPWR purchase $33K
Timing
Same day
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 4, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought MPWR ($15,001-$50,000) 0 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Brian Charles Lea to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of Te
TIGHT TIMING MPWR
Stock Trade
MSFT sale $8K
Timing
12 days after vote
Trade: Jun 18 → Vote: Jun 30, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 12 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Waive Section 425(a)(2) of the CBA re: H.R. 1
MSFT
Stock Trade
AVGO purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Feb 9 → Vote: Feb 3, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought AVGO ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Aaron Christian Peterson to be U.S. District Judge for the District of Ala
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AVGO
60
Stock Trade
IVV sale $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 28, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold IVV ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: David Wright, of South Carolina, to be a Member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission
TRADED BEFORE VOTE IVV
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
NVDA purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 15, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: No
Angus King bought NVDA ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'No' on Confirmation: Anthony Tata, of Florida, to be Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness
TRADED BEFORE VOTE NVDA
Angus King I ME
60
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
Angus King bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Ossoff Amdt. No. 2896
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
Stock Trade
CSX purchase $33K
Timing
Same day
Trade: May 13 → Vote: May 13, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought CSX ($15,001-$50,000) 0 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Katharine MacGregor to be Deputy Secretary of the Interior
TIGHT TIMING CSX
Stock Trade
APG purchase $33K
Timing
3 days after vote
Trade: Jan 5 → Vote: Jan 8, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought APG ($15,001-$50,000) 3 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Alexander C. Van Hook, of Louisiana, to be U.S. District Judge for the Western Distric
TIGHT TIMING APG
Stock Trade
MPWR purchase $33K
Timing
Same day
Trade: Feb 4 → Vote: Feb 4, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Markwayne Mullin bought MPWR ($15,001-$50,000) 0 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Megan Blair Benton, of Missouri, to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of
TIGHT TIMING MPWR
Stock Trade
AVGO purchase $8K
Timing
6 days before vote
Trade: Feb 9 → Vote: Feb 3, 2026
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito bought AVGO ($1,001-$15,000) 6 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Nicholas Jon Ganjei, of Texas, to be U.S. District Judge for the Southern District of
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AVGO
60
Stock Trade
IVV sale $8K
Timing
4 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 28, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold IVV ($1,001-$15,000) 4 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: David Wright to be a Member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission
TRADED BEFORE VOTE IVV
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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS — LIVE
via Polymarket ↗
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1%
Vol $3.9M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
0%
Vol $3.9M/24h
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0%
Vol $2.8M/24h
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
57%
Vol $2.7M/24h
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
68%
Vol $1.3M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6%
Vol $885K/24h